Tuesday 23 March 2010

Speculating The Youth Approach

Posting this really so I can look back and see how it will all work out.

Ok so the dangers of going youth is that you take your eye of the ball and pump too much money into youth.

So you start chasing youth trophies, which is fun don't get me wrong but in the new GW's you'll be poor if you do this exclusively.

Youth academies are a lottery how effective they are depends on how many buy a lottery ticket. Is it worth buying a lottery ticket?

That is a dilemma and I don't really know the answer, cash is worth a lot in the new economy and chucking as much as £1k a day to get one youth per season...

Lets do the math there, to sign a youth now it's 20x wage sign on so £20k a pop assuming you get for base wage. Or you can get a youth academy which will cost roughly pro rata £28k.

It comes back to the same thing random or hand picked.

There is another gamble in days gone by GW's suffered massive inflation will that happen again? If it doesn't you going to look dam silly chucking £40k a day at a youth team.

Also if you do manage to sign the new Messi you won't be locking him on £30k wage forever.

Maybe one account for lean (super casual) and one youth.

With that in mind then I will possibly get one YA you can't win the lottery if you don't buy a ticket, but it'll be a small one.

There is another aspect of youth which will make this approach even more potent in the new GW's, no Ronadlo's or Messi's for the first three seasons. So a 19yo with a CA of 90 might not be so bad as you'd think.

So next looking at skills and the types of player, unless we get a delay in launch might be able to look at a few practical examples.

2 comments:

Mike Lowes said...

Jack you got any plans on how to build up your stadium this time around? Will you be going all team for the first few seasons or trying to build stands up from start?

MarkPhillips said...

I've half done a piece on that will try to get it up early after reset.

First season not expecting to be doing anything.