Sunday 26 July 2009

Grinding & Form Theory

Well so far looks like we're going to be safe in the CFA Premiership in StJohn results are very mixed but very occasionally we grind out the odd 1-0 to suggest we can stay safe. My crazy theory on form or whatever seems to pretty much pan out.

Basically form theory goes like this players as a result of their own ability and as a result of their teams overall ability have an idea of the team over or underachieving. As they get closer to underachieving they slowly become tighter and more focused until they force a result or just play better. The opposite happens to a team that is over achieving.

Ok mix this in with perhaps ambition, professionalism etc and you have a rough idea of how FM Live works on form.

Taking this into account in StJohn I've got a honest bunch of players, they battle hard and that is why they do as well as they do relative to their Aq Fee. Had been on run where results were fading so I picked a team that I felt were high for their squad. The result an early goal for us and hung on for the win.

Conversely the Beta team are really high relative to the strength of the squad and yesterday we lose three games back to back.

Can this be exploited, I think bottom line better players = better results, the match engine, although it does drive me slightly crazy at times is as close to football as your going to get.

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